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Formed in 2001, the Non-commercial Partnership of the Coordination of the Northern Sea Route Usages is a Moscow-based organization comprising federal and regional government officials, Russian shipping companies and international research and/or educational institutions. Arthur Chilingarov, deputy chairman of the State Duma, is president of the Partnership with Mikhail Nikolaev, deputy chairman of the Council of Federation, as the vice-president. Captain Vladimir Mikhailichenko, former head of the Northern Sea Route Administration, is the managing director. The organization has 32 members whose aim is to expand the use of the NSR, assist in safe navigation of Russian and international commercial use along the route, ensure adequate environmental protection in the region, stimulate research and development activities associated with the route; as well as addressing issues such as tariffs, taxation, insurance and other economic factors in the Arctic zone and the NSR. In order to incorporate the thoughts of the partnership members into the AMSA, partnership member Institute of the North, in conjunction with the U.S. Arctic Research Commission, held a facilitated discussion during the organization’s quarterly meeting in St. Petersburg, Russia in February 2008. The participants were asked what opportunities and challenges they anticipated for the Northern Sea Route in the next 20 years, or longer. The following ideas were captured during the 2 ½ hour discussion and placed into seven topic areas: Emerging Routes, Infrastructure, Technological Considerations, Development and Shipping Economics, International Cooperation and Marine Environmental Safety, Training and Education and Arctic Ocean Observing Network/Monitoring. Concerning emerging routes, participants generally agreed that the intermodal transportation system (rail and shipping) within Russia is poised to make “colossal” changes and that all Arctic shipping will be influenced by the developing intermodal transportation systems. There was agreement that there will be a greater increase in the shipment of oil and gas of western Russia through the Barents and Norwegian seas, and that regional development in the Russian Far East could reasonably tie rail and shipping in the Lena River with Chinese products going into the Russian Far East and possibly natural resources going out. All of the participants agreed that economics, not Arctic climate change, will drive increased shipping in the NSR. When talking about infrastructure, the group agreed there is a need for better ice forecasting because ice is very difficult to predict. They envisage the icebreaker fleet in the future will be a mixture of a few large federal icebreakers and smaller commercial multi-purpose icebreakers to support offshore oil and gas development. They noted that shallow draft along the NSR coast and inland rivers made access difficult and challenging; however, the European Union ARCOP project indicated winter marine access along the Ob’ River. The lack of major ports along NSR is one limiting factor in increased shipping and is compounded by the need for port improvements throughout the North. The members were adamant there is a need for better search and rescue resources deployed, as well as places of refuge identified. In addition, the capability of ships to provide assistance should be considered of prime importance, having due regard to the lack of repair facilities, the limited number of dedicated towing ships available and the response time.
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As to technology, the group said the likely future for shipping in the NSR will occur with independent icebreaking cargo ships and a small number of federal icebreakers used to facilitate traffic, if necessary. Some members of the partnership believe there continues to be a need to maintain a federal icebreaker fleet, with the lead icebreakers of 100,000 shaft horsepower; while others see a different role for a smaller icebreaker fleet that are used to assist, when needed, independent icebreaking cargo ships. Concerning development and shipping economics, some members suggested the NSR tariff structure needs to be evaluated with the goal of making it more competitive within the global maritime industry and economically sustainable. All operations, whether they are from within the Russian Federation or outside the country, should be subject to the same tariff structure. The group said redundancy of critical systems should be incorporated into ships operating in the NSR. Government should work closely with and be supportive of regional commercial icebreaking systems and regional relationships in the Barents Sea region (between nations and regional organizations) are important linkages for the future of the NSR. When discussing international cooperation and marine environmental safety, the partnership members agreed there is a need to address the key challenges in combating oil spills in ice-covered waters. They called for the International Maritime Organization to create mandatory, not voluntary, regulations for all ships plying the waters of the Arctic and Antarctica. The partnership plans to work with the noncommercial organization, Association Northwest, which includes 11 independent regions. They believe it is important that all ships in the NSR meet or exceed the voluntary Guidelines for Ships Operating in Arctic Ice-covered Waters. They also said that the Arctic environment imposes additional demands on ship systems, including navigation, communications, life-saving, main and auxiliary machinery, etc. They emphasize the need to ensure that all ships systems are capable of functioning effectively under anticipated operating conditions and providing adequate levels of safety in accident and emergency situations. In the training and educational area, they suggested ice navigation simulators are needed to improve ice navigation and enhance marine safety. They emphasized the human factor is very important in all of these issues, but especially true when recruiting and training crew. Such training should include knowledge of cold water survival gear and other unique issues crew may be exposed to while navigating in ice-covered waters. As to the Arctic monitoring, the partnership urged support for a future Arctic Ocean Observing System, recognizing that a robust and effective Arctic Ocean Observing System is essential to enhancing marine safety and environmental protection in the NSR and throughout the Arctic Ocean. They also supported obtaining reliable and detailed hydrometeorological and sea ice information in the near-real time as necessary for supporting safe ship navigation
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